The International Herald Tribune speculates that the potential litigation cost necessary to bring one of the Big Four down could be as little as $450 million. The range given is pretty wide at up to $1.8 billion but the warning signs are there that something catastrophic might happen in 2007:
Ethics codes and practice limits are not solving the perception, as put by a Big Four partner in Paris, that “reform has been unable to deal with the ‘last mile,’ that is, the fact that the auditors are paid by the person in control.”
This is a well understood problem but with little by way of solution in sight. Somehow, I think it will take what Rod Boothby believes will be a massive decline in SOX revenue before the Big Four wake up and realise that audits are not the gravy train they’ve become. It might also require management teams to wake up and question: ‘What are we getting for our money?’